The June Market Report - A Tale of Two Markets

The June 2025 real estate numbers are in, and they paint two very different pictures for the neighbouring markets of Guelph and Centre Wellington. While both regions continue to adjust to evolving buyer behaviour, inventory levels, and pricing trends, each is experiencing its own unique rhythm. Here's what you need to know if you're thinking about buying or selling this summer.

Guelph: A Market Finding Balance

In Guelph, the median sale price dipped by 3.1% year-over-year, landing at $775,000. While that may look like a setback, sales activity actually increased by 4%, with 181 homes sold. This suggests that while buyers may be slightly more price-sensitive, they are still very much in the market—particularly when homes are priced competitively.

The number of new listings was down by 4.1%, meaning there’s slightly less inventory available for buyers. However, the median days on market increased to 19 days, up nearly 19%, giving buyers a little more breathing room to make thoughtful decisions.

For buyers:
You're entering a more balanced market where prices are stabilizing and competition isn't as intense. With homes taking longer to sell, there's more time to negotiate—but fewer listings means you’ll need to be decisive when the right one comes along.

For sellers:
Even with a small dip in prices, homes are still moving. With inventory tightening and sales increasing, this could be a good time to list—especially if your home is well-prepared and priced right for today’s more selective buyers.

Centre Wellington: A Cautious Cooling

Centre Wellington, on the other hand, saw a sharper adjustment in June. The median sale price dropped by 6.6% to $773,967, and sales fell dramatically by 43.3%, with just 115 homes sold. Listings were also down 22.5%, indicating that fewer sellers are entering the market—perhaps waiting for stronger conditions.

Buyers, however, are also taking more time. Homes are sitting on the market for 31 days on average—a 40.9% increase from last year—suggesting a more cautious approach and less urgency.

For buyers:
You may find yourself in a less competitive market with more room to negotiate. With prices down and homes staying on the market longer, there's an opportunity to secure value—especially if you're flexible with timing and location.

For sellers:
This is a market that calls for patience and strategy. With fewer active buyers and longer days on market, presentation and pricing are everything. Sellers who understand today’s buyer mindset and adjust expectations accordingly will stand out.

What This Means Heading Into Summer

The Guelph market is holding relatively steady—sales are rising and buyers remain active, even as prices soften slightly. Centre Wellington, meanwhile, is experiencing a more pronounced cooling, with both buyers and sellers stepping back.

As we move into the second half of 2025, interest rate changes, economic confidence, and affordability will continue to shape both markets. Buyers should be ready to act strategically, while sellers need to focus on value, preparation, and timing.

Whether you’re looking to make a move now or planning for later this year, understanding your local market is the key to success. If you'd like a personalized market analysis or want to know what your home is worth in today’s conditions, reach out for a confidential consultation today.

Enjoy the weekend,

Paul

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LISTING OF THE WEEK

3 Adler Drive, Cambridge ON

$799,900

Detached 2 Storey
4 + 2 Bedrooms
3 Full, 1 Half Bath
2,166 Above Grade Sqft

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Listing courtesy of Keller Williams Home Group Realty Brokerage

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